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Ruto-Uhuru State House Reunion Sparks 2027 Election Speculation

With Odinga having warmed to Ruto through bipartisan dialogue, Kenyatta potentially repositioning himself, and new political formations emerging, the traditional alliance patterns appear increasingly fluid.

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Symbolic Meeting Reignites Political Calculations as Kenya Eyes Next Presidential Race

President William Ruto’s meeting with his predecessor Uhuru Kenyatta at State House on August 1, 2025, has sent ripples through Kenya’s political landscape, with observers reading deeper meanings into what officials describe as a routine diplomatic engagement.

The encounter, which saw the two former allies share hearty handshakes, booming laughter, and even playful nudges during a tour of the renovated State House, has reignited speculation about shifting alliances ahead of the 2027 General Election.

A tale of two narratives

Officially, Kenyatta’s visit was linked to his attendance at a joint East African Community and Southern African Development Community meeting on the Democratic Republic of Congo crisis.

However, the symbolism of the former president touring his old residence—complete with viral social media posts showing their renewed camaraderie, has not escaped political watchers.

President Ruto and Uhuru having a booming laughter during a tour to show the former president of the new look State House.

President Ruto and Uhuru having a booming laughter during a tour to show the former president of the new look State House.

“The presence of Uhuru at State House with President Ruto has made most tribalists and bigots mad because they don’t want an inclusive, united and cohesive Kenya,” declared Nandi Senator Samson Cherargei, interpreting the meeting as validation of Ruto’s growing national acceptance.

The reunion marks a dramatic shift from the frosty relationship that characterized the final years of Kenyatta’s presidency, when he backed Raila Odinga against his then-deputy Ruto in the 2022 elections.

Complex political calculations

Behind the public display of unity lie complex political calculations.

Sources suggest Kenyatta, despite his public retreat from frontline politics, remains influential—particularly in the Mount Kenya region and may be positioning himself for a role in shaping the 2027 succession.

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“Since he is the one who requested a tour around State House to acclimatise with the new changes, we believe he was putting his best foot forward to the international community to see that he has no hard feelings against his successor,” revealed a State House official speaking on condition of anonymity.

The meeting comes amid reports that Kenyatta is quietly supporting former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i as a potential challenger to Ruto in 2027, while also navigating the complex dynamics in Mount Kenya, where former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua seeks to consolidate regional influence.

ODM’s measured response

The reunion has particularly unsettled some within the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), which entered into a broad-based government arrangement with Ruto following post-election violence and protests.

President Ruto in. Meeting with ODM leader Raila Odinga and Musalia Mudavadi in a meeting at State House.

President Ruto in. Meeting with ODM leader Raila Odinga and Musalia Mudavadi in a meeting at State House.

Treasury Cabinet Secretary John Mbadi, the former ODM chairman, delivered a scathing assessment of Kenyatta’s renewed visibility.

“The former president should know his time is over. Neither President Ruto nor Raila Odinga should be listening to him,” Mbadi declared, accusing Kenyatta of misleading the opposition during the 2022 contest.

However, other ODM leaders maintain a more cautious stance. Suba North MP Millie Odhiambo noted that while her party supports the current administration for national stability, this doesn’t guarantee automatic support in 2027.

“It is a matter of negotiation,” she stated, even floating the possibility of ODM asking Ruto to support Odinga in the next election.

The Ruto-Kenyatta relationship has been marked by dramatic shifts—from close allies during their first Jubilee term (2013-2017) to bitter rivals by 2022.

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Political analyst Prof Gitile Naituli suggests the current rapprochement might not be surprising: “They’ve been together all along. We are just seeing Jubilee Phase Two.”

Meanwhile, Gachagua’s Democracy for the Citizens Party dismissed the meeting as “mere optics,” with Deputy Party leader Cleophas Malala maintaining that “that meeting cannot salvage Ruto from serving only one term.”

The 2027 landscape

As Kenya approaches the 2027 elections, the State House reunion represents just one piece of a complex political puzzle.

With Odinga having warmed to Ruto through bipartisan dialogue, Kenyatta potentially repositioning himself, and new political formations emerging, the traditional alliance patterns appear increasingly fluid.

The viral images of the two leaders—Ruto in his signature blue suit, Kenyatta in a patterned dark shirt, sharing moments of levity on the State House lawn—may prove to be more than mere nostalgia.

President Ruto gives former President Uhuru Kenyatta a tour of the revamped State House

In Kenya’s intricate political theater, such displays often signal deeper strategic realignments that could reshape the country’s electoral landscape.

Whether this reunion represents genuine reconciliation, tactical positioning, or simply diplomatic courtesy remains to be seen.

What’s certain is that in the world of Kenyan politics, even the most casual encounters are scrutinized for their potential impact on the nation’s democratic future.

The next two years will reveal whether the laughter and handshakes at State House translate into substantive political cooperation or remain merely a brief interlude in Kenya’s ever-evolving political drama.


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