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Politics

Chebukati Clarifies On The 48 percent Turnout But Things Still Don’t Add Up

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Moments after the tallying had started after the largely boycotted 26th election, the IEBC chairman who’s on record saying the laid structures couldn’t guarantee a credible election made a preliminary pronouncement. He announced voter turnout to be 48% which he described as the best estimate, this didn’t go well with many as it was expected for KIEMS to give exact numbers and statistics at the close of all polling stations.

IEBC has been on a confusion spree with many thrown off the cliff after every update. They’ve been a source of confusion rather than clarity for the simple reason that everything doesn’t seem to add up. An analysis by Shiundu of Africa Fact Check reveals the loopholes.

So, I have been told Chebukati has spoken about the issue of KIEMS and turnout. The IEBC chairman says 17,568 KIEMS kits identified 4,457, 458 registered voters “between 4 &5pm” on 26 October. So IEBC did the maths (4,457,458)/(9,200,411 total of voters in the 17,568 kits) *100 and got 48 %… but, wait.. 1hr, 4.5m voters using 17,568 kits? “Peak time,” he said. Boss, that is an average of 253 people identified per kit in one hour? Right?

One hour has 60 minutes, works out to four people being identified every minute, 1 person every 15 seconds! Haa! I don’t know about you, but for such efficiency, the 253 people standing in 17,568 stations would be in a beeline of sorts. If it wasn’t that efficient, it means, everyone in the queue, after the close of the station was allowed to vote before transmission. But just one quick question: Why did the snapshot pick 17,568 kits? Were they the only ones that transmitted at 5 pm?

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If he could get the hourly data of transmissions for the 17,568 kits by 5 pm Thursday, it means there’s a log of hourly data for all? No? If 35,564 sent signal on station opening, and therefore within network coverage, why pick just 17,568 for hourly data?

Now, by 10 pm on October 26, 2017, 33,140 KIEMS kits had transmitted results showing 6,553,858 had voted. Okay… The votes closed at 5 pm, so, we take it that these 33,140 kits transmitted the final tally of those who had voted on 26/10/2017. Or what else would the transmission show? They’d authenticated voters, polls had closed, they had transmitted the log: Turnout, right?. Again, we presume that there were voters on the queue and the kits waited until everyone had been identified before transmission at 10 pm. But really, how many polling stations opened? For that, we go to the IEBC and find 35,564 declared they opened.

Very well, so, we go back to Chebukati, he says, by 10 pm, 33,140 had sent logs, that means 2,424 of those that opened hadn’t sent data. Now, if they managed to send a signal that station was open, it means they were within 3G range, right? If they were within 3G range at station opening, why hadn’t they sent logs at 10 pm after station closure? Were people voting perhaps? But the law requires the counting to be done at the polling station, and by that time, we’d know how many votes were cast.

Okay, the IEBC chairman then said that by October 28, 5 pm, 36,882 kits had reported showing a turnout of 7,573,903. The presumption is that the difference between transmitting 36,882 vs 35,564 that opened, the extra 1,318 didn’t have network coverage. Or how else would you explain why they were not captured in the logs of the stations that signaled they had opened?

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Politics

David Murathe Confirms DP Ruto Rigged Out Kabogo During Jubilee Nominations

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William Kabogo And William Ruto during The Hague Days.

For the longest time it has been speculated that former Kiambu Governor William Kabogo was rigged out during the party’s primaries in favor of Kabogo. This was seen as apparent given the bad blood that the two politicians had at that time.

Kabogo was one of the openly vocal politicians from the Central region who objected the idea of the Kikuyu community supporting the DP in his bid for 2022. Kabogo had blamed his political woes on Ruto in what he claimed was a ploy to lock him out of 2022 politics.

He blamed Ruto for not taking action against his complaints and fears that the outcome of the Jubilee Party nomination exercise had already been predetermined. In a thinly veiled attack aimed at Ruto, Kabogo cautioned the DP that it was not automatic that he would get Mt Kenya votes come 2022.

While appearing on Citizen TV, Murathe who’s leading a ‘Stop Ruto Movement’ from contesting in 2022, admitted to rigging during the party nominations. “Some interested parties rigged out highly popular people, especially from Mt Kenya, and planted the people they wanted,” he said. “A lot of people were left out. I watched it and was seething inside, but there was nothing I could do about it.”

DP William Ruto spearheaded the primaries. On the first day, the exercise was cancelled. It was mired in confusion and chaos. It resumed the following day. Kabogo amongst other leaders from Central who were agruened including Jaguar who wept uncontrollably stormed the Jubilee Headquarters in Pangani to lodge their complaints. Most fell on deaf ears.

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According to the 2022 game plan  Waititu had been poised to deputize Ruto as the DP. It’s however not definite as a lot has happened in the recent days. Kabogo made peace with Ruto and was even speculated to be in support for his 2022 bid. Murathe’s admission also seems to have opened the wounds for Kabogo who said, “Murathe confirms they rigged party nominations in 2017. What a shame washing dirty linen in public.”


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Opinion

From Governor Joho’s school of politics comes Hon.Moses A. Oindo ‘The Youth Commander’

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Moses Aran.

By Kenya Insights reporter

Mombasa Governor Ali Hassan Joho was last weekend in a tour of western Kenya attending a series of fundraisers and sort of meet the people tour in a couple of places in that region. If you allow me, i will say he was on a charm offensive of the region. Dp Ruto has been frequenting Western and Central Kenya donating millions in churches to seal his spot a head of 2022. In a style his own, Sultan 001 threw salvos at the DP forcing his foot soldiers to respond in hurried pressers.

Governor Joho did not respond to Dp Ruto’s boys, instead he went on holding fundraisers but in his entourage one could not miss to notice the future Kenyan politics. His team was full of young politicians, most noticeable was nominated MCA Hon. Moses Aran Oindo a.k.a Cv’lizer or Youth Commander as he is commonly reffered to by his supporters.

Cv’lizer’s was the star of the tour and in his address he acknowledged Governor Joho as is mentor and political professor. The budding politician spoke with bravado sending chills down knees of his competitors. He made it a somber day for quite a number of rising politicians who are waiting to be spoon fed. ‘I’m a student from Joho school of politics’ the young law maker said, donning a Joho branded t-shirt. The crowd went bezerk.

Governor Joho was mentored by the former premier, Rt. Hon Raila Odinga among other politicians as Busia Governor Sospeter OJaamon and Ababu Namwamba among others. Seasoned and career politicians have aided the creation of inclusive and representative political system with underlying mission of participation reforms. Time proven, party chiefs have done commendable job at identifying and nurturing emerging politicians to fill their void at times of retirement or serve in other elective positions. ‘Joho school of politics’ could be doing just that and his top student is not disappointing. Moi’s school identified and nurtured the president of the day, H.E Uhuru Kenyatta.

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Cvlizer is fast growing with populist and nationalist sentiment, which is a common thing in politics in both sides of the Atlantic. Studies have shown. While some may argue that today populists are social media savvy ….so what? It’s what you do off the cameras and off the courts that make you worthy of the people’s support. The support online and offline that Cv’lizer enjoys is a result of the real work he is putting on the ground. Community Library through his foundation is complete, disadavantaged kid are in school and a couple musical talents are in mentorship programs.

It is unwritten law today that to actively engage with your supporters you need active social media accounts. He is making good use of social media, directly connecting with his constituents, closely aligning with the corner stone of populism; “ruled by the people”. ‘Similarly, social media makes it possible for anyone’s voice to be elevated, not just pundits and plutocrats’ finds Hendrickson and Galston. This, when coupled with constructive projects inspire good following and elevates one above sleeping giants. 

Moses has evolved into a more forceful politician and youth leader than most of his peers and even some sitting politicians from the coastal region today. He is the only one who had the guts to tell off renegades Malindi Mp. Aisha Jumwa and Msambweni’s Suleiman Dori who are facing expulsion from ODM party not to blame their woes on Governor Joho. He keeps steady on his path and has not forgoten where his star started to shine, he is Governor Joho’s stonge supporter.

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Larry Stone, a democratic fundraiser in California says ‘You’ve really got to secure your base before you start off to do other things’. Cv’lizer has his base locked, not verbaly but with real projects that inspire hope and development. As he wanders off with the governor, he leaves people only with options to direct him on positions to go for in 2022. ‘Mhesh ingia bunge, mhesh ingia senate, mhesh mhesh….’  and the list is endless. Yes, people support him that much in Mombasa though he has not declared what he will go for in 2022.

‘Joho school’ must be churning out fully baked students. Moses has transformed a great deal, from a mere youth leader to a unifying factor in Mombasa. He recently had a handshake with young leaders from other political factions in the county and in a presser he promised to work with other young leaders for the good of the county. ‘Peace, unity and development’ he emphasized.


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Politics

Part 2: Why Nairobi Can’t Afford To Have A Scandal Ridden Agnes Kagure As Their Deputy Governor

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Ms Kagure

Deputy Governor post is one of those proposed to be scrapped in the referendum due to its irrelevance, it remains a puzzle as to why one Agnes Kagure has been campaigning for this post like it’s a matter of life and death.

Another one of those ‘business people’ with no clear businesses, Kagure has engaged top notch lobbying which I’m told is fronted by existing city cartels and grandfathers in this town determined to place their person at the helm of power to continue milking the county.

Nairobi already made a blunder by electing an incompetent governor and can’t afford to double the mess by having a deputy with a heap of scandals on her back while we’re here busy raising integrity standards.

Kagure previously, wasn’t known to the world but to the land grabbing world, she’s a known figure and a feared one. With questionable wealth, Kagure who was close to the late Prof Saitoti can’t cut above the bar.

In 2011, Ms Kagure was named in the Top 40 women under 40, an annual list of women who have risen to occupy positions of influence in Kenya before the age of 40, published by the Business Daily.

But the exact reality of how she acquired her wealth is known. Nothing on earth can be hidden. Just like someone who claimed to become a millionaire from selling eggs and chicken, then for sure he or she might have sold chicken worth the ostrich size.

But a case in the backdrop of that fancy profile is a stream of land grabbing cases spread all over Nairobi courts. Prominent one in court is the ownership of a property in Karen estimated to be worth over Sh1B.

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She is also in court over another plot in Nairobi’s Umoja Inner Core, in which the court has called for a full trial to determine how she bought the property, which is also claimed by one Joel Munene.

However, it is Ms Kariuki’s claim that she bought property in Karen from the late Roger Bryan Robson for Sh100 million that has made her the talk of town.

Court records show that Mr Robson’s parents left him and his brother, Michael, properties in the name of Plovers Haunt Ltd.

But the formalities of transferring the company shares from parents to sons was never carried out, according to Guy Spencer Elms, the lawyer appointed by Mr Robson as executor of his will.

In his 1997 will, Robson left his estate to relatives and charitable organisations in Kenya involved in the environment, wildlife, health and education.

His main asset was a 5.2-acre property on Ushirika Road, Karen, and a half-acre plot with flats on it next to the Nairobi Hospital.

The property is estimated to be worth about Sh1B

While Mr Elms, wanted to pass the Sh1B estate to the Kenya Wildlife Service and the Kenya Forestry Service, Ms Kariuki is one of the individuals who have emerged as the owners of the property, having bought it from Roger Robson.

Last year, the Director of Public Prosecutions wanted to prosecute Elms for forgery in relation to the Upper Hill and Karen land but the National Land Commission said it did not find any forgery in the documents. It’s being established that it was Kagure involved and masterminded this land fraud.

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Kagure’s pretence business struggles are as predictable as the shortcuts she presides over. Tedious, mind-numbing monotony that only the most rose-tinted of the Nairobi brigade should be able to stomach by now in an era of corruption. She is no better person to deliver in Nairobi.

A pathetic figure on the present day capped a hellish week and should seal the deal idiom that Agnes surely doesn’t deserve the nairobi deity seat because of her unexplained character. (Agnes to date can not explain the wealth in Langata, the grabbed land in Roysambu and some premises believed to be acquired by corrupt means.)

Kagure’s acolytes refuse to countenance the idea the unexplained wealth woman is yesterday’s woman typified by a life of what can be termed as silent killer cartels, yet she’s offering nothing to suggest she can recapture former glory of Nairobi City. This can be termed a static political game from an analogue manager in a digital age.

The well connected Kagure has been spotted with a former CS Lands and she has bragged to have funded the election of a jubilee governor but her KRA records, the Co-operative Bank account details she gave to the firearms bureau don’t show any sign of such wealth.

From 2004 until 2015, there is no record of Agnes Kagure ever having filed any returns with KRA. Evidence that she started filing returns appears in 2016. The returns are self-assessment. She seems to have rental houses and, from her monthly rental collection, is legally bound by law to submit 10% in tax. Between January 2015 and December 2017, Agnes had paid a total of Ksh 127,198.00 in taxes.

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On 22nd September 2016, Agnes Kagure Kariuki applied to the firearms licensing board, seeking to obtain a firearm for her protection, and listed the following businesses in her application:

1. Antonio’s grill,
2. Dynamic Mini Mart
3. Consolota Pharmacy
4. Universal Nautical Ltd.

The companies mentioned exist under a questionable and suspicious nature.
1. Antonio’s Grill – A search in the registrar of companies reveals that Antonio’s grill is not a company but a business name.
2. Dynamic Mini Mart – No records exist at either the Registrar of Companies or Kenya Revenue Authority.
3. Consolota Pharmacy – No records appear in either the Registrar of Companies or Kenya Revenue Authority.
4. Universal Nautical Ltd. – Company was registered in 2012 but hasn’t filed any returns since its registration.

Kagure has engaged high voltage PR drive to cleanse her image which is soiled. Nairobi sits st the heart of Kenya’s economy and is not a ground for scams of the city to come pitch their terror cell in the pretense of leadership. Nairobi deserves a leadership with integrity beyond reproach, Kagure is below the barrel bottom.

We continue to unmask Kagure as the series moves to Part3…. of you have any info and tips or stories on this email me now ([email protected])


Kenya Insights allows guest blogging, if you want to be published on Kenya’s most authoritative and accurate blog, have an expose, news, story angles, human interest stories, drop us an email on [email protected] or via Telegram
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