OPINION – What US-Russia Talks Mean for China and Global Diplomacy?

– The author is the co-founder and secretary general of the Center for China and Globalization

The meeting between US and Russian representatives in Saudi Arabia has become a focal point of international attention, bringing new hope for the normalization of Russia-Ukraine relations. Following extensive talks, both sides reached agreements on several issues, sparking international debate. Among the three main agreements, the establishment of a consultation mechanism and the creation of a high-level team to support Ukraine’s peace talks have laid the groundwork for communication in seeking a peaceful resolution to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Restoring diplomatic efforts signals a thaw in US-Russia relations, paving the way for future cooperation. The agreement to establish closer ties, including economic cooperation after the end of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, demonstrates a positive expectation for future peace and stability.

However, this process is not without challenges. Ukraine sees the US’ actions as a betrayal, fearing it will lose international standing and face increased pressure from Russia. European leaders are also concerned that the US is negotiating directly with Russia without their involvement, fearing their interests are being overlooked. After all, Europe has invested heavily in the Russia-Ukraine conflict over the past three years, with deep economic and geopolitical ties. Being excluded from crucial negotiations is naturally difficult for Europe to accept.

From the perspective of international morality and the principles of international law, territorial integrity and sovereignty are fundamental and inviolable principles. Any peace agreement should be reached based on respect for international law and the United Nations Charter. While the US and Russia have reached a consensus, the challenge now lies in how to implement these agreements, coordinate the interests of all parties, and, in particular, address Ukraine’s legitimate demands and convince Europe to accept the outcome.

China-US relations

China has always maintained an objective and neutral stance, actively advocating for peace and promoting dialogue. A Foreign Ministry spokesperson expressed support for the consensus on US-Russia peace talks and hopes that all parties and stakeholders will participate in the dialogue process in due time. This reflects China’s responsible role as a major power in international affairs, not siding with any party but striving to promote a comprehensive, fair, and sustainable peace solution. Regarding the normalization of US-Russia relations, China does not share concerns that a closer US-Russia relationship will significantly alter US-China ties. In fact, the Trump administration has placed less emphasis on China during its second term, and there is no evidence suggesting that a US-Russia rapprochement would lead to a concentrated effort to counter China.

First, US President Donald Trump has always been focused on deal-making, with his primary goal being to boost the US economy and deliver tangible results for domestic voters. In this context, his most important “deal” would be with China, as it is the world’s second-largest economy and largest trading partner. In contrast, Russia’s economy is much smaller and now ranks outside the global top ten. Consequently, a major economic confrontation with China would not align with the core economic interests of the current US administration.

Second, Trump seeks to engage with Russia and improve relations quickly, primarily to bring an end to the Russia-Ukraine war. He has consistently argued that the US has invested too much in this conflict, which he sees as not directly concerning US territory. He believes Europe should contribute more to the “protection fee.” Trump also aspires to be seen as a “peace president” and win the Nobel Peace Prize, which explains his emphasis on these goals. In this context, normalizing US-Russia relations is a rational move.

Third, the US may seek China’s support in rebuilding Ukraine’s economy and infrastructure after the war. The close relationship between Russia and China also plays a significant role in the Russia-Ukraine peace talks. As a result, US-Russia discussions will not pose a threat to China’s interests.

China-Europe relations

China-Europe relations are entering a new phase, as Trump’s administration places less emphasis on Europe, altering previous strategic alignments. 2025 marks the 50th anniversary of China-Europe diplomatic relations. The prospects for bilateral and multilateral cooperation are vast, and Europe can still play a positive role as part of the China-US-Europe triangular relationship in balancing Sino-US relations, enhancing international multilateral cooperation, and promoting the improvement of global governance.

This US-Russia meeting is only the beginning. Future negotiations, particularly on territory and security guarantees, will likely be complex and prolonged. The international community must work together, actively participate in coordination, and encourage all parties to resolve disputes through peaceful dialogue, so that peace and stability can be restored in the Russia-Ukraine region as soon as possible. This not only serves the interests of both Russia and Ukraine but also meets the needs of global peace and development.