Half Term: Prof. Ogolla Calls for President Ruto to Resign in Exchange for Amnesty, Proposes Transitional Government

In an audacious political gambit that could reshape Kenya’s political landscape, governance expert and political economist Professor Fred Ogolla has called for President William Ruto to step down mid-term in exchange for amnesty from alleged economic crimes and crimes against humanity.

The controversial proposal, outlined in a press statement released Monday, suggests the establishment of a transitional government to guide Kenya toward the 2027 General Elections, with Ruto receiving legal protection in return for surrendering the remainder of his presidential term.

Professor Ogolla’s proposition is as bold as it is unprecedented in Kenya’s political history.
Barely two years into his presidency, Kenya’s William Ruto is already facing calls for him to leave – summed up in the slogan ‘wantam,’ or one term, reflecting growing public discontent with his administration.

“We will appeal to President Ruto to cede his remaining term in office, taking a half-term in exchange for amnesty,” Ogolla stated in his press release, positioning this as a face-saving exit strategy for the embattled president.

The proposal comes against a backdrop of mounting criticism of Ruto’s economic policies and governance style.

The scholar pokes holes in Ruto’s economic policies, speaks about incompetence and wanton corruption in the Kenya Kwanza administration, as Ogolla has been a consistent critic of the current government’s approach to economic management.

Central to Ogolla’s argument is his assertion that Kenya faces an economic rather than political crisis.

He denounced what he termed the Ruto administration’s “Politics First, Economy Last” approach, citing rampant youth unemployment, misuse of public funds, and erosion of the rule of law as evidence of systemic misgovernance.

“We cannot stand by and watch Kenya deteriorate any further,” Ogolla warned, painting a picture of a nation in decline under current leadership.

His critique resonates with broader public sentiment, as violence will continue to deepen as young people, opposition politicians and others try to make an example of him in an escalating campaign to reform Kenya’s government.

The professor’s concerns about economic mismanagement align with ongoing protests and public demonstrations.

The message of protesters to the president was clear: ‘Ruto must go, Ruto must go’, indicating that calls for Ruto’s resignation have been building momentum over recent months.

The Transitional Government Framework

Ogolla’s proposal draws on the “Doctrine of Necessity,” invoking historical precedents such as the 2007 National Accord and the 2022 NADCO (National Dialogue Committee) process.

These frameworks, he argued, demonstrated how public pressure could establish inclusive governance structures outside normal constitutional provisions.

“We are not asking for a coalition or a broad-based government,” Ogolla clarified, distinguishing his proposal from typical power-sharing arrangements.

“We are calling for a Transition Government comprised of eminent Kenyans who will hold Kenya in trust and organize for the 2027 elections, ensuring they are free and fair.”

This transitional model would theoretically provide political stability while addressing the legitimacy crisis facing the current administration.

The proposal suggests that such a government would be temporary, serving specifically to prepare for credible elections in 2027.

The timing of Ogolla’s proposal is significant, coming as Ruto faces mounting pressure from multiple quarters.

Gachagua said Ruto should stop dismissing nationwide calls for his exit and instead offer a clear way forward, indicating that even within government circles, there are growing concerns about the president’s political sustainability.

The proposal is likely to generate intense debate across Kenya’s political spectrum.

For Ruto’s supporters, it may be seen as an attempt to legitimize what they could characterize as an unconstitutional power grab.

For critics of the current administration, it offers a potentially peaceful pathway to political change.

The amnesty component adds another layer of complexity.

By offering legal protection in exchange for resignation, Ogolla is essentially acknowledging that there are serious allegations against the current administration that might otherwise lead to future prosecution.

Kenya has experienced political transitions before, most notably the 2007-2008 post-election crisis that led to the National Accord between President Mwai Kibaki and opposition leader Raila Odinga.

However, Ogolla’s proposal goes further by suggesting a complete transfer of power to a transitional authority.

The invocation of the Doctrine of Necessity provides a legal framework for extraordinary measures during times of national crisis.

This doctrine has been used in various contexts globally when normal constitutional procedures prove inadequate to address existential challenges facing a nation.

The practical implementation of such a proposal faces significant hurdles.

The Constitution of Kenya provides specific procedures for presidential succession and does not explicitly provide for transitional governments outside of these frameworks.

Any such arrangement would require either constitutional amendments or creative legal interpretation.

Additionally, Ruto’s Kenya Kwanza coalition currently controls Parliament and key state institutions, making it unlikely that such a proposal would gain the necessary institutional support without significant political pressure.

Kenya’s political stability has regional implications, given its role as East Africa’s largest economy and a key diplomatic hub.

Any transitional arrangement would need to maintain international confidence and ensure continuity in key policy areas.

The proposal also comes at a time when several African countries have experienced political transitions, though mostly through military interventions rather than negotiated settlements. Ogolla’s framework offers a potentially more democratic alternative to such scenarios.

Professor Ogolla’s proposal represents a significant escalation in calls for political change in Kenya.

Whether it gains traction will depend on several factors: the extent of public support, the response from civil society organizations, the reaction of the international community, and most importantly, the political calculations of key stakeholders within the current government.

The coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether this proposal remains an academic exercise or becomes a catalyst for real political change.

Kenya is worth preserving for future generations who are trooping into the streets demanding for a better country, as recent commentary has noted, suggesting that the underlying issues Ogolla raises reflect genuine public concerns.

The professor has positioned himself at the center of what could become a defining moment in Kenya’s political evolution.

His proposal offers a framework for addressing the current crisis while potentially providing a face-saving exit for an embattled president.

However, the success of such an ambitious undertaking would require unprecedented political cooperation and public support.

As Kenya grapples with economic challenges and political tensions, Ogolla’s call for a transitional government represents both an opportunity and a risk. It offers a potential pathway to political renewal while raising fundamental questions about constitutional governance and democratic legitimacy.

The ultimate test will be whether this proposal can move beyond rhetoric to become a viable framework for political change, or whether it will join the long list of ambitious political proposals that never gained sufficient momentum to reshape Kenya’s political landscape.